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World Health Day: The Overlooked Health Risks of Climate Change

07.04.2025

Let's talk about cold-related deaths, spreading diseases, and air pollution!

Climate change is not just an environmental crisis—it’s a health crisis. Rising temperatures, changing weather patterns, and shifting ecosystems directly and indirectly impact human health.

We often hear about heatwaves and their deadly toll, but climate change also influences infectious diseases, water quality, food security, and even cold-related mortality. Some risks are increasing, while others—like deaths from extreme cold—are actually decreasing in certain regions. At the Nexus Research Group, we explore these issues to better understand how climate change is reshaping health risks—and how we can adapt.

On this World Health Day, we want to present three studies that our colleague Dr. David Gampe was involved in and that shed light on critical aspects of climate and health that go beyond the usual discussion:

  • How climate change is reshaping winter mortality in the UK.
  • Why warming is worsening disease burdens in the Gaza Strip.
  • What a new study will reveal about air pollution’s hidden role in heat-related deaths.

Cold-Related Deaths: A Declining Trend Amid Rising Temperatures

What happens to cold-related deaths as the planet warms? While we mostly hear about the dangers of heat waves, our study on mortality trends in London (1976–2019) highlights a lesser-known trend: a decline in cold-related deaths.

Key Takeaways:

  • Over the past few decades, cold-related mortality has decreased in London, likely due to rising winter temperatures.
  • However, this doesn’t mean climate change is "saving lives"—because other risks, like extreme heat, air pollution, and new disease patterns, are increasing.
  • The reduction in cold deaths is a localized effect, benefiting regions with historically cold winters but doing little for hotter regions where heat-related mortality is rising sharply.

This challenges the oversimplified narrative that a warmer world will be "better" for health in colder countries—because the negative impacts far outweigh localized benefits.

Hajat S, Gampe D, & Petrou G (2024) Contribution of Cold Versus Climate Change to Mortality in London, UK.

Diarrhoeal Disease: A Hidden Climate Burden

In hot and water-scarce regions, climate change might amplify waterborne diseases. Our study from 2022 on diarrhoeal disease burdens in the Gaza Strip, Palestine, models the effects of 1.5°C and 2°C global warming scenarios on public health – with alarming results, especially given the current humanitarian crisis in the region, where fresh water and medical care are scarcer than ever.

Key Takeaways:

  • Rising temperatures and worsening water scarcity will increase diarrhoeal disease cases, particularly among vulnerable populations.
  • Heat stress and poor water infrastructure make the impacts worse, increasing the urgency for climate adaptation in public health systems.
  • This issue is part of a broader trend: Climate change likely disproportionately harms communities that already face water stress, conflict, and infrastructure challenges.

Hajat S, Gampe D, Sarsour A, & Abuzerr S (2022) Climate change and diarrhoeal disease burdens in the Gaza Strip, Palestine: health impacts of 1.5 C and 2 C global warming scenarios.

Outlook: The Hidden Forces Behind Heat-Related Deaths

Our upcoming study takes a fresh look at heat-related mortality in Great Britain—but with a twist. It reveals how air pollution masked some of the warming effects of climate change for decades. Stay tuned—we’ll dive deeper into this soon!

Climate Change is a Public Health Emergency.

  • It is not just about heat—it’s also about infectious diseases, water scarcity, and shifting mortality trends.
  • The decline in cold deaths is one of the few positive effects—but it does not outweigh the overwhelming risks.
  • The health impacts of climate change are already here, hitting vulnerable populations the hardest.

On this World Health Day, let’s focus on climate action that prioritizes health equity, adaptation, and resilience.